Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | LAS -1400 FDU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -15.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -13.1 (-8.1) | 154.3 (-5.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -13.1 (-8.1) | 154.3 (-5.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -12.2 (-7.2) | 153.4 (-4.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -12.3 (-7.3) | 156.7 (-7.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2021 | LAS 81 – 55 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#149) | -10.6 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#138) | -2.25 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#155) | -3.12 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#115) | 0.378 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 61.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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