Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +14 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -1.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -2.0 (-12.0) | 139.9 (-15.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -2.2 (-11.8) | 141.0 (-17.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -3.4 (-10.6) | 142.2 (-18.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -4.2 (-9.8) | 141.0 (-17.0) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2020 | FGCU 65 – 56 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#291) | -1.0 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#315) | 1.03 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#319) | 0.89 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.341 (#346) | 0.568 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 22.8% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.0% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 13.9% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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