Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +5 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -3.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-36.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -2.2 (-7.2) | 138.0 (-29.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -2.7 (-7.7) | 142.6 (-33.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -2.6 (-7.6) | 142.5 (-33.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -1.6 (-6.6) | 142.3 (-33.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 16-0 | 18-0 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#12) | 13.4 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#22) | 0.83 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.91 (#24) | 1.24 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#28) | 0.450 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 49.2% |
| FT Rate | 12.6% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 27.8% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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