Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | VAN -11.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -9.4 (-13.4) | 133.3 (+6.7) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -9.3 (-13.3) | 132.0 (+8.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -10.6 (-14.6) | 133.2 (+6.8) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -10.5 (-14.5) | 133.4 (+6.6) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2022 | VAN 89 – 87 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-7 |
| Home | 11-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#76) | -0.4 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#126) | 0.25 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#125) | -0.23 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#157) | 0.504 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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