I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Liacouras Center · November 16, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TEM -3.5 Away covered
O/U 134.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEM win
Actual VAN +2 176 Lost
Massey TEM -14.4 (-16.4) — —
Massey Totals — 135.4 (+40.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✗
Baseline ML TEM -9.3 (-11.3) 136.0 (+40.0) 73% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML TEM -8.4 (-10.4) 138.3 (+37.7) 75% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 8, 2021 TEM 72 – 68 VAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEM VAN
Overall 16-16 22-15
Conference 10-8 11-7
Home 9-7 14-6
Away 5-6 5-6
Neutral 2-3 3-3
Last 5 1-1 0-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.6 71.9
Avg Pts Against 70.2 71.5
Massey -5.9 (#292) -10.2 (#337)
Bradley-Terry -1.18 (#310) -2.65 (#352)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.58 (#302) -3.68 (#346)
RPI 0.429 (#242) —
Shooting & Four Factors TEM VAN
FG% 38.6% 36.7%
3PT% 23.3% 27.3%
REB / G 33.5 36.0
OREB / G 10.0 11.5
AST / TO 0.85 0.75
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.0% 42.9%
TOV% 14.5% 20.6%
ORB% 27.8% 28.4%
FT Rate 37.7% 10.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 46.6%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 16.3%
DRB% 72.3% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 25.4% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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