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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–4 on winners
spread MAE 7.7
11 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Purdue
@
Rutgers
|
-11.2 | 140.5 | 34% | 68–70 | ✗ |
Nicholls
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-10.8 | 145.7 | 15% | 95–80 | ✓ |
Detroit Mercy
@
Kent State
|
+3.0 | 132.6 | 70% | 52–69 | ✓ |
Hampton
@
William & Mary
|
+0.6 | 127.8 | 41% | 54–53 | ✗ |
Long Island University
@
Fordham
|
+8.0 | 145.5 | 83% | 57–73 | ✓ |
Colgate
@
Pittsburgh
|
-2.5 | 137.3 | 44% | 68–71 | ✗ |
Monmouth
@
St. John's
|
+3.9 | 150.9 | 72% | 83–88 | ✓ |
Merrimack
@
Gonzaga
|
+26.0 | 137.1 | 91% | 55–80 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Iowa State
|
+2.3 | 143.6 | 59% | 53–73 | ✓ |
Denver
@
New Mexico
|
+7.2 | 149.0 | 77% | 67–87 | ✓ |
Grand Canyon
@
Arizona State
|
-0.7 | 131.6 | 49% | 62–67 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.