Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–16 on winners spread MAE 9.8 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Florida @ Duquesne +17.8 148.8 89% 82–83 ✓
Lehigh @ Saint Francis +5.7 138.8 71% 82–76 ✗
Chicago State @ Marshall +19.9 151.8 91% 70–82 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Charleston Southern +5.0 147.4 71% 63–78 ✓
UL Monroe @ Louisiana Tech +19.7 146.7 90% 58–79 ✓
Holy Cross @ Fordham +12.0 146.4 84% 53–67 ✓
Monmouth @ Colgate +18.2 147.7 90% 66–85 ✓
Syracuse @ Richmond +1.0 136.2 52% 74–71 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Clemson +6.7 144.8 74% 41–72 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Wright State -0.4 141.7 49% 61–77 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Northern Kentucky -2.7 130.9 39% 82–61 ✓
Rhode Island @ Kansas State +11.7 132.4 85% 57–77 ✓
Omaha @ Iowa +24.3 157.6 91% 64–100 ✓
Houston Christian @ Rice +9.4 152.6 81% 67–76 ✓
Drake @ Tarleton State +3.7 140.2 63% 71–64 ✗
Bellarmine @ Duke +20.0 132.2 90% 57–74 ✓
Marquette @ Mississippi State +4.5 134.4 70% 55–58 ✓
Georgia @ Saint Joseph's +0.7 140.8 51% 66–53 ✗
Texas @ Northern Arizona -10.8 136.5 18% 73–48 ✓
Ohio State @ San Diego State +0.8 138.3 57% 77–88 ✓
Washington State @ Eastern Washington -3.6 136.5 34% 82–56 ✓
Hampton @ UC Santa Barbara +10.8 137.9 83% 66–79 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Air Force +4.9 134.4 68% 56–83 ✓
St. John's @ Temple -6.4 153.7 23% 78–72 ✓
UC Riverside @ Weber State -6.2 135.0 24% 72–65 ✓
Texas State @ California +1.8 133.2 52% 59–55 ✗
California Baptist @ Minnesota -3.2 123.8 36% 61–62 ✗
Cincinnati @ Arizona +9.1 159.1 81% 93–101 ✓
Southern Illinois @ UNLV -1.0 127.2 49% 49–56 ✗
East Carolina @ Toledo +0.4 155.4 56% 86–75 ✗
Illinois State @ Western Kentucky +0.2 129.7 53% 66–78 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Grand Canyon +4.7 128.7 71% 67–69 ✓
Austin Peay @ Bucknell +2.0 130.7 58% 65–79 ✓
Sam Houston @ Northern Illinois -9.9 124.6 18% 88–54 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Eastern Michigan -5.7 145.8 28% 74–67 ✓
NJIT @ Sacred Heart +7.8 138.5 76% 85–75 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ UT Arlington -4.5 124.4 34% 56–60 ✗
LSU @ Akron -3.2 139.5 37% 73–58 ✓
San Francisco @ Wichita State +3.6 129.1 63% 67–63 ✗
Texas Tech @ Louisville -11.9 130.4 15% 70–38 ✓
South Dakota @ Long Island University -5.7 143.7 25% 68–58 ✓
North Alabama @ Hampton -4.4 148.0 33% 75–74 ✓
Southern Miss @ Winthrop -11.3 140.1 16% 77–52 ✓
Holy Cross @ UIC +2.6 137.8 58% 66–89 ✓
Georgia @ UAB +4.7 146.0 68% 73–87 ✓
Canisius @ Cornell +12.2 153.2 86% 70–79 ✓
Ohio State @ Cincinnati -7.5 139.2 23% 81–53 ✓
Indiana State @ Kansas City -4.7 143.6 30% 61–63 ✗
Tulane @ Rhode Island -7.8 143.0 22% 78–75 ✓
Bradley @ Auburn -1.1 134.0 48% 64–85 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +3.8 128.9 68% 73–63 ✗
UT Martin @ Arkansas State +7.2 135.8 76% 64–70 ✓
South Florida @ Saint Joseph's +3.3 138.1 65% 75–62 ✗
Bowling Green @ Notre Dame +11.1 146.3 84% 66–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.