Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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44–10 on winners spread MAE 10.6 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boston University @ Hartford +4.3 135.9 63% 75–70 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ East Tennessee State +3.9 144.2 65% 43–56 ✓
Campbell @ Marshall +2.5 146.6 54% 67–65 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ UNC Wilmington — — — 53–65 —
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Penn State +11.6 142.0 86% 59–74 ✓
Alabama State @ Iowa +18.3 153.7 88% 82–108 ✓
UAB @ South Carolina +6.1 150.9 69% 63–66 ✓
Presbyterian @ Cincinnati +8.5 137.8 78% 45–79 ✓
Marquette @ Ole Miss +2.3 148.3 58% 78–72 ✗
Oklahoma @ East Carolina -6.9 142.2 26% 79–74 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Kentucky +0.8 153.6 49% 73–74 ✓
Stony Brook @ Kansas +18.9 147.6 89% 59–88 ✓
UT Arlington @ North Texas +11.9 136.2 85% 36–64 ✓
Ball State @ Florida International +0.4 137.0 51% 60–73 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Northern Arizona +6.7 140.4 75% 64–74 ✓
Nicholls @ TCU +12.4 137.7 84% 50–63 ✓
SE Louisiana @ SMU +13.7 145.5 84% 61–78 ✓
McNeese @ LSU +22.5 142.6 91% 46–85 ✓
Saint Francis @ Virginia Tech +15.0 138.2 87% 55–85 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Missouri +3.1 144.2 55% 37–54 ✓
Rutgers @ DePaul +13.0 148.9 83% 70–73 ✓
Samford @ Oregon State +7.2 128.5 72% 78–77 ✗
Washington State @ Idaho -2.3 146.9 35% 109–61 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Northwestern +19.2 149.5 89% 46–82 ✓
Elon @ West Virginia +1.9 139.0 62% 68–87 ✓
Indiana State @ Old Dominion +3.4 142.9 65% 77–36 ✗
Morgan State @ Seattle U +12.5 141.2 85% 80–93 ✓
Southern Utah @ California +5.6 139.0 72% 68–75 ✓
San José State @ California Baptist +11.9 147.5 84% 66–67 ✓
Arizona State @ San Diego State +11.7 137.7 84% 63–65 ✓
Nevada @ San Francisco +13.8 150.7 85% 70–73 ✓
Wyoming @ Washington -5.8 133.8 28% 77–72 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Portland +4.9 142.1 70% 74–86 ✓
Boise State @ Temple -3.9 130.2 33% 82–62 ✓
New Mexico State @ Utah State -2.6 142.6 36% 58–85 ✗
Bradley @ Colorado State +9.4 146.6 80% 60–66 ✓
Texas State @ Utah Tech -4.6 147.0 31% 85–65 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Clemson +3.1 132.2 60% 68–65 ✗
Davidson @ Pennsylvania -2.5 144.5 39% 72–60 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Massachusetts +2.6 133.9 58% 90–93 ✓
Troy @ North Dakota -7.8 142.3 22% 72–74 ✗
Brown @ Creighton +0.5 141.6 57% 57–78 ✓
Yale @ Vermont +5.0 136.7 65% 53–61 ✓
Oklahoma @ Indiana State -5.9 145.8 27% 87–63 ✓
American University @ Longwood +0.7 150.9 51% 42–82 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Cal State Northridge +1.3 145.5 53% 67–64 ✗
St. Thomas @ Youngstown State +7.0 155.1 75% 75–79 ✓
Liberty @ Iona +0.3 141.8 55% 50–54 ✓
Weber State @ Ball State -5.7 145.6 24% 85–74 ✓
Norfolk State @ Bowling Green -0.4 144.2 47% 90–84 ✓
Northeastern @ Duquesne -0.9 123.4 46% 71–55 ✓
UT Martin @ Florida Atlantic +4.4 147.8 69% 67–75 ✓
Towson @ Pittsburgh -1.9 138.2 40% 59–63 ✗
Hofstra @ Maryland +3.6 146.1 61% 67–69 ✓
Siena @ Georgetown +21.4 133.5 90% 65–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.