They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–15 on winners spread MAE 11.3 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
George Mason @ Maryland +1.7 141.7 50% 71–66 ✗
Stetson @ Miami (OH) +18.9 146.5 90% 65–80 ✓
Michigan State @ Butler +4.3 137.8 65% 73–52 ✗
Drexel @ Saint Joseph's +7.8 141.0 77% 78–75 ✗
La Salle @ Delaware +16.1 151.6 88% 82–85 ✓
Lipscomb @ Dayton +2.4 138.5 54% 78–59 ✗
Binghamton @ Columbia +0.0 138.9 45% 77–85 ✓
Harvard @ UAlbany -5.8 145.1 28% 60–53 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Coppin State -1.3 139.9 41% 49–71 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Wake Forest +12.7 146.5 84% 59–95 ✓
Marist @ Princeton +2.2 149.4 58% 61–80 ✓
Rider @ Bucknell +1.9 141.5 55% 74–81 ✓
Toledo @ Oakland +9.8 132.1 78% 59–80 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Baylor +20.6 148.9 91% 47–92 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Arkansas +18.5 140.7 88% 80–93 ✓
VCU @ Vanderbilt +17.4 134.1 88% 48–37 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Mississippi State +19.4 139.3 89% 64–77 ✓
Montana State @ South Dakota State +5.9 162.0 70% 74–91 ✓
Oklahoma State @ NC State -5.5 142.4 27% 74–68 ✓
Tulane @ Florida State +18.7 147.2 89% 54–59 ✓
Omaha @ Kansas State +7.4 138.8 72% 64–79 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Texas +12.5 148.8 80% 49–62 ✓
Valparaiso @ Stanford +12.1 137.8 86% 60–74 ✓
Missouri State @ Sam Houston +5.1 144.8 69% 77–55 ✗
Texas Southern @ Air Force +5.4 130.7 71% 57–61 ✓
St. John's @ Indiana +3.6 146.2 62% 74–76 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Grand Canyon +16.5 135.6 88% 64–91 ✓
Utah Valley @ Long Beach State +6.2 157.6 75% 84–78 ✗
UC Davis @ Pepperdine -3.7 145.2 27% 67–72 ✗
Little Rock @ Loyola Marymount +1.8 143.7 52% 63–82 ✓
Bellarmine @ Saint Mary's +11.7 142.2 84% 64–73 ✓
North Florida @ UCLA +17.2 143.4 88% 63–98 ✓
UC Riverside @ San Diego +6.7 137.4 72% 62–74 ✓
Davidson @ New Mexico State -4.0 137.4 36% 64–75 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Boise State +2.2 129.3 58% 67–61 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Utah State +0.3 146.2 50% 79–87 ✓
Green Bay @ UNC Greensboro +7.0 129.3 79% 58–60 ✓
Clemson @ Temple +1.3 139.2 50% 75–48 ✗
Massachusetts @ Weber State -1.4 139.7 46% 73–88 ✗
Milwaukee @ Florida +13.0 133.7 85% 45–81 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ UNC Asheville -6.1 142.9 28% 55–61 ✗
Ohio State @ Xavier +4.7 138.6 65% 65–71 ✓
Charlotte @ App State +3.8 132.0 56% 67–66 ✗
New Hampshire @ Providence +12.6 144.1 85% 58–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.