And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–11 on winners spread MAE 11.7 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wright State @ Purdue +16.2 156.1 87% 52–96 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Duke +16.3 140.3 88% 52–92 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Kentucky +22.2 146.5 91% 55–80 ✓
Colgate @ Cornell +12.2 146.6 86% 68–78 ✓
Austin Peay @ Purdue Fort Wayne — — — 60–65 —
Winthrop @ Middle Tennessee +10.2 144.9 80% 65–76 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Chattanooga +16.8 137.3 88% 62–69 ✓
William & Mary @ Norfolk State +12.4 131.9 86% 74–91 ✓
Hampton @ Towson — — — 54–78 —
Boston University @ Northeastern +3.9 138.5 66% 48–49 ✓
James Madison @ Eastern Kentucky +13.1 139.7 87% 79–78 ✗
Creighton @ Nebraska +4.4 138.5 63% 77–69 ✗
South Carolina State @ Georgia +11.5 144.1 85% 60–76 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Cincinnati +9.1 139.8 81% 66–89 ✓
Georgia State @ Richmond -1.8 146.0 43% 78–94 ✗
Lafayette @ Pennsylvania +7.8 157.9 76% 57–85 ✓
NJIT @ Rutgers +4.4 130.3 65% 61–75 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Pittsburgh -3.2 133.5 39% 51–59 ✗
Jacksonville @ UCF +8.9 143.6 79% 54–63 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Troy +1.5 131.7 54% 65–69 ✓
Hofstra @ Iona +1.8 146.5 53% 74–82 ✓
Yale @ Siena -6.0 138.2 26% 82–54 ✓
Lehigh @ Monmouth +16.5 145.7 89% 75–85 ✓
South Alabama @ Alabama +13.6 148.2 85% 68–73 ✓
Saint Louis @ Memphis +6.8 147.7 75% 74–90 ✓
Virginia @ Houston +15.9 140.4 87% 47–67 ✓
Southern @ Rice +2.3 138.6 54% 63–81 ✓
Murray State @ Illinois State +4.8 147.7 68% 77–65 ✗
Alabama State @ Iowa State +9.7 144.1 81% 60–68 ✓
Tarleton State @ Wichita State +7.6 130.5 77% 51–65 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern +17.5 145.3 88% 67–83 ✓
Chicago State @ Loyola Chicago +17.3 146.3 87% 56–92 ✓
Abilene Christian @ UT Arlington -5.7 142.9 30% 80–71 ✓
NC State @ Central Connecticut -6.8 144.8 24% 79–65 ✓
High Point @ Notre Dame +17.4 139.4 89% 61–70 ✓
North Carolina @ Charleston +8.7 162.4 78% 94–83 ✗
American University @ Georgetown -3.2 140.1 31% 57–79 ✗
Denver @ UTSA -5.0 137.8 27% 64–78 ✗
Seton Hall @ Michigan +3.4 138.9 58% 67–65 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Iowa +23.1 148.5 91% 69–86 ✓
Nevada @ Santa Clara +9.4 152.9 80% 74–96 ✓
North Dakota State @ Arizona +15.8 143.1 88% 45–97 ✓
BYU @ Oregon +6.3 142.2 72% 81–49 ✗
Jackson State @ California Baptist +12.2 143.1 83% 64–77 ✓
George Washington @ Cal State Fullerton +6.2 142.2 73% 59–74 ✓
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M +19.0 140.9 89% 39–73 ✓
Denver @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -3.8 136.8 34% 67–69 ✗
Central Connecticut @ UMass Lowell +4.9 136.3 70% 53–77 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ UTSA +0.1 130.4 42% 57–60 ✓
Merrimack @ Army +3.4 132.2 58% 51–74 ✓
Boston College @ Rhode Island +3.3 138.5 57% 49–57 ✓
Long Island University @ UConn +25.8 150.8 91% 40–93 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.