Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -22.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -2400 SCST +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +16 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -18.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -12.5 (+3.5) | 144.8 (-8.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -15.3 (+0.7) | 145.8 (-9.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -11.5 (+4.5) | 144.1 (-8.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -12.3 (+3.7) | 143.5 (-7.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2024 | UGA 79 – 72 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-13 | 8-5 |
| Away | 0-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L12 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#138) | -6.9 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#175) | -2.16 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#171) | -3.11 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.719 (#49) | 0.418 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.6% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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