Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -50000 SCST +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -22.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -21.7 (-14.7) | 141.3 (+9.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -19.3 (-12.3) | 140.9 (+10.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -21.9 (-14.9) | 141.4 (+9.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -21.0 (-14.0) | 140.8 (+10.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2021 | UGA 76 – 60 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-3 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#29) | -3.7 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#18) | -1.19 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#17) | -1.62 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#41) | 0.432 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 40.3% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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