Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -20.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | NU -2400 NOLA +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +16 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | NU -18.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -17.5 (-1.5) | 145.3 (+4.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -22.6 (-6.6) | 144.0 (+6.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-4 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#72) | -2.2 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#138) | -0.40 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#132) | -0.56 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#224) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 4.09 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 8.0% | 26.1% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 16.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 60.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 7.8% |
Game Analysis
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