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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–9 on winners spread MAE 10.2 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Illinois @ Marquette -0.3 143.6 48% 66–67 ✗
St. Thomas @ Fordham +0.2 145.5 49% 78–84 ✓
The Citadel @ Presbyterian -0.9 140.2 43% 70–74 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ South Florida +3.3 123.4 51% 54–56 ✓
Weber State @ Duquesne — — — 63–59 —
Coppin State @ UNC Greensboro +12.8 140.1 87% 48–55 ✓
Radford @ Virginia Tech +24.3 138.8 91% 39–65 ✓
Bryant @ Clemson +10.3 139.3 82% 70–93 ✓
Liberty @ LSU — — — 58–74 —
Penn State @ Massachusetts +0.5 141.8 43% 56–81 ✓
Holy Cross @ Quinnipiac +7.3 146.6 78% 68–76 ✓
Manhattan @ Old Dominion +6.8 132.0 73% 58–79 ✓
Robert Morris @ Ohio +18.1 144.3 90% 71–85 ✓
Furman @ Belmont +10.0 151.8 75% 89–95 ✓
Lamar @ Georgia Tech +12.1 145.8 83% 66–75 ✓
Buffalo @ North Texas — — — 69–66 —
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Tech +16.8 152.2 88% 49–84 ✓
Southern Miss @ TCU +17.6 133.8 88% 51–83 ✓
Kansas City @ Missouri +8.7 139.5 79% 80–66 ✗
Northwestern State @ SMU +7.0 145.5 73% 48–95 ✓
Maine @ Colorado +10.4 145.2 82% 46–90 ✓
Navy @ Louisville +5.2 138.8 68% 60–77 ✓
Montana @ North Dakota +2.0 137.9 57% 77–79 ✓
Central Michigan @ Eastern Illinois +3.9 140.9 65% 62–61 ✗
East Texas A&M @ UTSA — — — 65–62 —
Alcorn State @ Gonzaga +14.4 145.9 86% 57–84 ✓
San Diego @ California -1.6 138.7 37% 70–75 ✗
Texas Southern @ Washington +1.5 137.4 52% 65–72 ✓
Grambling @ New Mexico +8.7 145.4 80% 61–86 ✓
Providence @ Wisconsin +9.0 138.8 75% 63–58 ✗
Oregon State @ Tulsa +4.1 132.0 62% 58–64 ✓
Samford @ San Francisco — — — 55–77 —
North Florida @ Arizona State +7.0 134.6 73% 63–72 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Utah +20.5 137.3 90% 55–86 ✓
Sacramento State @ Cal Poly +6.4 137.2 72% 58–57 ✗
Idaho @ Fresno State +15.5 150.3 87% 62–69 ✓
Utah Valley @ Pepperdine +3.2 140.7 63% 86–74 ✗
Southern Utah @ Saint Mary's +12.0 144.7 83% 51–70 ✓
North Dakota State @ UNLV +2.0 125.4 45% 62–64 ✓
Long Beach State @ UCLA +10.9 157.6 78% 79–100 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Washington State — — — 65–73 —
San José State @ Stanford +5.7 142.6 71% 62–76 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Oklahoma State +0.0 130.9 43% 58–80 ✓
USC @ Florida Gulf Coast -0.5 149.7 45% 78–61 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +1.5 129.8 56% 59–65 ✓
Miami @ Florida Atlantic +9.2 158.7 82% 68–66 ✗
Howard @ Villanova +9.2 146.4 71% 81–100 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.