Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +14 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -26.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -22.8 (-8.8) | 145.3 (+10.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -24.1 (-10.1) | 146.2 (+9.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -18.1 (-4.1) | 144.3 (+11.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -17.7 (-3.7) | 146.5 (+9.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | OHIO 84 – 68 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 5-16 |
| Home | 15-2 | 4-10 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#32) | -6.6 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#20) | -0.81 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#23) | -1.34 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.719 (#61) | 0.375 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 35.2% |
| 3PT% | 41.2% | 24.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.95 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 39.8% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 13.0% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 11.2% |
Game Analysis
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