Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -550 RMU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +16 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -4.7 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -2.2 (+13.8) | 145.7 (+6.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -2.6 (+13.4) | 143.6 (+8.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -2.6 (+13.4) | 142.2 (+9.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -3.2 (+12.8) | 143.6 (+8.4) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2021 | OHIO 85 – 71 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 16-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#230) | -2.4 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#256) | 0.82 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#236) | 1.04 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#276) | 0.511 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 81.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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