Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -18.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | UNCG -1600 COPP +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +7 | 103 | Won |
| Massey | UNCG -23.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-36.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -12.8 (-5.8) | 140.1 (-37.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -13.7 (-6.7) | 139.4 (-36.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -14.1 (-7.1) | 138.3 (-35.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2020 | COPP 86 – 80 UNCG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 3-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#147) | -11.4 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#23) | -1.22 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#41) | -1.87 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#136) | 0.438 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 34.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 48.5 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 26.9% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 41.0% | 17.6% |
| FT Rate | 13.4% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.7% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 59.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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