Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -30.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +31 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -26.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -20.5 (+10.5) | 137.3 (+3.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -26.4 (+4.6) | 135.6 (+5.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -24.7 (+6.3) | 134.7 (+6.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-9 | 4-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#45) | -7.8 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#94) | -1.26 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#85) | -2.03 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#136) | 0.062 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 56.5 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 20.5 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 48.8% | 18.0% |
| FT Rate | 33.1% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.0% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 12.4% |
| DRB% | 82.8% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.