Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +6 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | TLSA -6.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -4.1 (+1.9) | 132.0 (-10.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TLSA -1.4 (+4.6) | 130.3 (-8.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -5.1 (+0.9) | 134.1 (-12.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -4.5 (+1.5) | 131.1 (-9.1) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | ORST 73 – 70 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 1-19 |
| Home | 8-8 | 3-13 |
| Away | 1-10 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#263) | -0.1 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#318) | 0.06 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#306) | 0.08 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.200 (#303) | 0.688 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 6.2% | 12.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.