Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -6.0 Push |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +6 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -12.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -12.5 (-6.5) | 156.0 (+28.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -14.8 (-8.8) | 151.2 (+32.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -10.0 (-4.0) | 151.8 (+32.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | FUR 76 – 74 BEL |
| Nov 11, 2023 | FUR 99 – 76 BEL |
| Nov 12, 2022 | FUR 89 – 74 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-1 | 12-3 |
| Away | 10-5 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#24) | 8.0 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#152) | 2.80 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#139) | 4.43 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#100) | 1.000 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 42.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 12.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 41.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 9.0% |
| DRB% | 79.7% | 84.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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