Cause now I wanna be your dog. "I Wanna Be Your Dog" - Iggy and the Stooges
Oklahoma State Cowboys
80 – 58
FINAL Neutral Basketball Hall of Fame Showcase
UMass Lowell River Hawks
Mohegan Sun Arena (Neutral) · November 16, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread OKST -17.0 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money OKST -2000 / UML +1100
Model Predictions
Spread Total OKST win
Actual OKST +22 138 Won
Massey UML -2.8 (+24.8) — —
Massey Totals — 127.3 (+10.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 2% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 1% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML OKST -0.0 (+22.0) 130.9 (+7.1) 43% ✗
Baseline ML OKST -0.8 (+21.2) 131.3 (+6.7) 69% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OKST -2.9 (+19.1) 128.7 (+9.3) 58% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OKST UML
Overall 15-15 15-16
Conference 8-10 7-11
Home 10-6 8-6
Away 3-8 6-9
Neutral 2-1 1-1
Last 5 2-1 1-0
Streak W2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 67.5
Avg Pts Against 65.7 67.9
Massey 1.9 (#123) 4.7 (#78)
Bradley-Terry -1.17 (#300) 2.57 (#6)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.13 (#272) 3.17 (#13)
RPI 0.313 (#254) 1.000 (#1)
Shooting & Four Factors OKST UML
FG% 45.5% 35.5%
3PT% 29.1% 30.8%
REB / G 38.0 34.0
OREB / G 12.0 14.0
AST / TO 0.96 0.62
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 41.9%
TOV% 23.1% 13.3%
ORB% 34.0% 34.1%
FT Rate 28.1% 11.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 42.3% 46.7%
Opp TOV% 32.0% 25.0%
DRB% 72.9% 64.5%
Opp FT Rate 18.7% 32.6%

Game Analysis

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