Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -24.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | TTU -4000 PV +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +35 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -20.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (-27.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -17.3 (+17.7) | 143.1 (-10.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -16.8 (+18.2) | 152.2 (-19.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -18.8 (+16.2) | 153.6 (-20.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -19.4 (+15.6) | 151.4 (-18.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 18-0 | 5-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#97) | -5.7 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#116) | -1.64 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#110) | -2.21 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#136) | 0.458 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 19.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 51.4% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 60.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.2% | 26.8% |
| DRB% | 82.5% | 61.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 36.7% |
Game Analysis
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