Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | FGCU +575 USC -850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +17 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -4.0 (-21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -0.6 (-16.4) | 149.9 (-10.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -5.2 (-11.8) | 149.3 (-10.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -0.5 (-16.5) | 149.7 (-10.7) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | FGCU 74 – 61 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#56) | 13.5 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#220) | 2.22 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#219) | 3.20 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#136) | 0.688 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 52.1% |
| 3PT% | 47.1% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.7% | 40.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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