Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | VT -2000 RAD +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +26 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | VT -35.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -24.3 (+1.7) | 138.8 (-34.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -32.1 (-6.1) | 134.2 (-30.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -33.2 (-7.2) | 135.8 (-31.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2020 | VT 77 – 62 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Massey | 17.1 (#2) | -7.9 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.27 (#2) | -1.65 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.29 (#2) | -3.04 (#333) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.000 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 42.5% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.88 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 11.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.8% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 51.1% |
Game Analysis
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