Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +1 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | EIU -8.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -3.6 (-4.6) | 138.5 (-15.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -3.9 (-4.9) | 137.6 (-14.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -3.9 (-4.9) | 140.9 (-17.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -4.4 (-5.4) | 140.9 (-17.9) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2022 | CMU 76 – 60 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-12 |
| Home | 4-9 | 2-9 |
| Away | 1-16 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 54.3 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#321) | -6.2 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#256) | -0.74 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#260) | -1.07 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#136) | 0.500 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 31.7% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.46 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.1% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 25.9% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 15.5% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 59.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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