Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | CMU -300 EIU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +16 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -16.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -7.0 (+9.0) | 141.9 (-5.9) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -6.3 (+9.7) | 141.6 (-5.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -6.3 (+9.7) | 142.9 (-6.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2021 | CMU 62 – 61 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-9 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#275) | -8.6 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#225) | -3.45 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#233) | -5.14 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#99) | 0.250 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 34.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 15.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 36.3% |
| TOV% | 27.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 62.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 59.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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