Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UNM -600 GRAM +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +25 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -15.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -9.9 (+15.1) | 138.5 (+8.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -8.7 (+16.3) | 145.4 (+1.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -10.1 (+14.9) | 149.1 (-2.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -9.5 (+15.5) | 145.6 (+1.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2024 | UNM 80 – 58 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-7 | 7-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#208) | -6.8 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#164) | -0.68 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#168) | -0.99 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#28) | 0.500 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 26.0 | 26.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 29.4% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 53.6% | 55.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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