Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | UNM -7500 GRAM +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +22 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -11.9 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -11.9 (+10.1) | 148.2 (-10.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -12.1 (+9.9) | 146.0 (-8.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -10.7 (+11.3) | 146.3 (-8.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -14.0 (+8.0) | 147.2 (-9.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2021 | UNM 86 – 61 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#65) | 2.0 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#48) | -0.22 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#44) | -0.07 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#43) | 0.623 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 27.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 16.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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