Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +21 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -13.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -10.9 (+10.1) | 157.6 (+21.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -14.5 (+6.5) | 157.5 (+21.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | UCLA 93 – 69 LBSU |
| Jan 7, 2022 | UCLA 96 – 78 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-3 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#42) | 5.6 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#73) | 1.78 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#68) | 2.45 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.938 (#16) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 57.1% |
| 3PT% | 43.1% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 59.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 80.2% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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