Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | CLEM -600 BRY +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +23 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -12.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -10.3 (+12.7) | 139.3 (+23.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -14.1 (+8.9) | 138.1 (+24.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 16-2 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#205) | -3.3 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#69) | -0.39 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#82) | -0.58 (#211) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 26.1% |
| 3PT% | 42.5% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 34.8% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 37.2% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.3% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 25.4% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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