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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 17.5
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota
@
Princeton
|
+1.2 | 137.2 | 56% | 87–80 | ✗ |
Idaho State
@
Seattle U
|
+4.3 | 135.0 | 65% | 51–77 | ✓ |
Texas State
@
Vanderbilt
|
+5.1 | 147.2 | 65% | 60–79 | ✓ |
Nicholls
@
Baylor
|
+8.7 | 139.8 | 75% | 60–89 | ✓ |
IU Indianapolis
@
Denver
|
— | — | — | 47–63 | — |
Bowling Green
@
Ohio State
|
+7.9 | 143.3 | 76% | 58–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.