Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -24.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | COLO -2800 ME +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +44 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -12.4 (+31.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -10.4 (+33.6) | 145.2 (-9.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -13.6 (+30.4) | 146.8 (-10.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -16.4 (+27.6) | 144.8 (-8.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-4 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 60.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#213) | -3.6 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#70) | -0.05 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#75) | -0.02 (#174) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.750 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 32.8% |
| 3PT% | 44.4% | 18.2% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 36.1% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 27.8% |
| ORB% | 43.8% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 44.7% | 4.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 59.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 11.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 4.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.