Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | ILST +195 MUR -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +12 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | ILST -11.1 (-23.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -4.8 (-16.8) | 147.7 (-5.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -7.2 (-19.2) | 149.5 (-7.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -5.3 (-17.3) | 147.2 (-5.2) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ILST 78 – 61 MUR |
| Jan 29, 2026 | ILST 70 – 65 MUR |
| Jan 3, 2025 | ILST 74 – 68 MUR |
| Jan 31, 2024 | ILST 61 – 59 MUR |
| Dec 3, 2023 | ILST 76 – 72 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 31-3 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 18-0 |
| Home | 11-6 | 15-0 |
| Away | 1-11 | 11-1 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 63.4 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#126) | 1.4 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#185) | 0.44 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#183) | 0.65 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#306) | 0.500 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 51.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.45 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 59.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 33.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 27.2% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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