Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -29.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -4500 NCCU +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +17 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -32.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -24.5 (-7.5) | 155.6 (-0.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -23.1 (-6.1) | 148.5 (+6.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -29.8 (-12.8) | 148.3 (+6.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -29.0 (-12.0) | 154.1 (+0.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2020 | IOWA 97 – 67 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-5 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#9) | -8.2 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#36) | -1.36 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#25) | -2.18 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#27) | 0.250 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.8% | 32.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.62 | 0.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.2% | 37.4% |
| TOV% | 10.9% | 30.9% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 42.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.