Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +28 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -5.5 (-22.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -6.7 (-21.3) | 134.8 (+1.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -6.0 (-22.0) | 138.2 (-2.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -7.7 (-20.3) | 139.7 (-3.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -8.1 (-19.9) | 138.3 (-2.3) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -14.4 (#352) | 1.5 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#343) | 0.57 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.70 (#343) | 1.41 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#306) | 0.812 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 43.2% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.