Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -1600 NJIT +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +14 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -5.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -4.4 (+9.6) | 130.3 (+5.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -9.4 (+4.6) | 130.8 (+5.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -6.6 (+7.4) | 132.6 (+3.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -4.6 (+9.4) | 128.9 (+7.1) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#222) | 3.0 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#31) | -0.48 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#20) | -0.82 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#62) | 0.312 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.0% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 18.5% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.1% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.9% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 25.3% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 83.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.0% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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