Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | MTSU +190 WIN -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -13.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -13.9 (-2.9) | 140.5 (+0.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -10.7 (+0.3) | 137.3 (+3.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -10.2 (+0.8) | 144.9 (-3.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | WIN 76 – 68 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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