Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
FedExForum · November 17, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread MEM -10.5 Home covered
O/U 143.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total MEM win
Actual MEM +16 164 Won
Massey MEM -10.2 (+5.8) — —
Massey Totals — 148.9 (+15.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MEM -6.6 (+9.4) 150.3 (+13.7) 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MEM -7.2 (+8.8) 153.9 (+10.1) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MEM -6.8 (+9.2) 147.7 (+16.3) 75% ✓
Baseline ML MEM -8.6 (+7.4) 146.1 (+17.9) 79% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 16, 2022 SLU 90 – 84 MEM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MEM SLU
Overall 22-11 23-12
Conference 13-5 12-6
Home 13-2 14-5
Away 5-6 5-6
Neutral 4-3 4-1
Last 5 2-0 2-0
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.2 74.7
Avg Pts Against 68.3 68.3
Massey 10.9 (#19) 11.1 (#17)
Bradley-Terry 0.63 (#126) 0.45 (#147)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.85 (#120) 0.66 (#143)
RPI 0.438 (#238) 0.458 (#224)
Shooting & Four Factors MEM SLU
FG% 55.0% 50.4%
3PT% 44.4% 32.4%
REB / G 39.0 46.5
OREB / G 11.0 16.0
AST / TO 0.94 1.52
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 64.0% 54.7%
TOV% 23.6% 14.3%
ORB% 37.9% 43.2%
FT Rate 33.3% 23.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 35.8% 39.3%
Opp TOV% 26.7% 27.0%
DRB% 63.6% 82.4%
Opp FT Rate 19.7% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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