Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +44 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -18.1 (+25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -16.2 (+27.8) | 156.1 (-8.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -20.8 (+23.2) | 155.1 (-7.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-7 |
| Home | 16-1 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#40) | 0.8 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#55) | -0.49 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#51) | -0.64 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#62) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 42.9% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.3% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 42.9% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 40.4% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 58.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 34.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.