Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -2.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -3.1 (-5.1) | 140.7 (-8.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -3.4 (-5.4) | 138.9 (-6.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -4.9 (-6.9) | 136.7 (-4.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -4.0 (-6.0) | 142.9 (-10.9) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#29) | 17.6 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#39) | 1.09 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#38) | 2.08 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.742 (#42) | 1.000 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 43.8% |
| REB / G | 45.5 | 50.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.8% | 28.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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