Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +22 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -14.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -9.4 (+12.6) | 152.9 (+17.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -12.5 (+9.5) | 155.2 (+14.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -13.1 (+8.9) | 156.2 (+13.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | SCU 98 – 83 NEV |
| Nov 17, 2024 | NEV 85 – 59 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#140) | -2.5 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#78) | -1.88 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#76) | -2.94 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#79) | 0.200 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 58.1% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 42.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 27.5 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.30 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 65.4% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 55.4% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 13.4% |
Game Analysis
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