Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -280 NEV +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +15 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -16.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -9.6 (+5.4) | 137.7 (+43.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -14.6 (+0.4) | 144.2 (+36.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -13.8 (+1.2) | 144.4 (+36.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -14.7 (+0.3) | 146.7 (+34.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | NEV 85 – 59 SCU |
| Nov 17, 2021 | SCU 96 – 74 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 17-2 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#38) | 1.9 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#15) | 1.74 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.89 (#15) | 2.15 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.844 (#2) | 0.903 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 48.7 |
| OREB / G | 18.5 | 17.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 11.0% |
| ORB% | 48.7% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 35.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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