Central Connecticut
Blue Devils
65
–
79
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Showcase
NC State
Wolfpack
Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU +1700 NCSU -4500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +14 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | NCSU -7.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -11.0 (-3.0) | 138.1 (+5.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -6.8 (-7.2) | 144.8 (-0.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -5.9 (-8.1) | 146.6 (-2.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -7.7 (-6.3) | 141.8 (+2.2) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-16 |
| Home | 5-7 | 7-10 |
| Away | 4-15 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#336) | -3.1 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#278) | 0.67 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#279) | 0.75 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.312 (#291) | 0.625 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 27.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.47 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 32.3% | 10.3% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 8.6% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 63.9% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 12.7% |
Game Analysis
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