What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–12 on winners spread MAE 8.8 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern +11.9 132.6 85% 44–78 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Florida International -1.7 141.2 44% 83–86 ✗
Stony Brook @ UAlbany -0.3 136.9 44% 86–75 ✓
Hartford @ Vermont +18.2 147.6 89% 72–82 ✓
Binghamton @ NJIT +1.3 137.5 52% 68–57 ✗
North Florida @ Eastern Kentucky +7.5 144.1 73% 58–67 ✓
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine +3.6 127.5 60% 73–76 ✓
Dayton @ George Mason +0.4 132.7 45% 49–50 ✓
Furman @ Wofford +2.6 144.1 58% 75–50 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Akron +7.3 145.8 78% 44–46 ✓
San Francisco @ Pepperdine -13.7 149.2 14% 71–45 ✓
New Mexico @ Wyoming +13.4 152.5 88% 91–93 ✓
UT Martin @ Murray State +22.1 143.0 91% 66–74 ✓
Seattle U @ Tarleton State -0.3 144.2 42% 76–68 ✓
North Carolina @ Wake Forest +4.1 151.6 71% 76–98 ✓
Wright State @ UIC +0.0 152.6 46% 97–81 ✗
Troy @ Louisiana +1.3 141.3 53% 59–69 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +5.2 133.3 70% 62–70 ✓
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts +10.3 153.9 83% 72–71 ✗
North Dakota @ Kansas City +10.1 139.9 83% 74–79 ✓
South Dakota @ St. Thomas +3.7 151.7 63% 90–79 ✗
San Diego @ Pacific -4.9 134.0 29% 73–65 ✓
Texas A&M @ Arkansas +5.3 143.3 74% 73–76 ✓
UCLA @ Colorado -3.0 141.3 37% 71–65 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton +7.6 138.4 80% 80–83 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Utah Tech +1.1 154.2 56% 74–85 ✓
Portland @ BYU +16.4 142.5 89% 65–78 ✓
Boise State @ San Diego State +3.0 122.1 45% 42–37 ✗
Hawai'i @ Cal Poly -6.7 134.5 23% 69–56 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Northridge -6.2 124.5 26% 77–67 ✓
Montana State @ Portland State -6.9 139.4 24% 73–60 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount -5.9 132.9 26% 83–51 ✓
Arizona State @ Stanford +6.6 136.5 76% 76–79 ✓
Butler @ Providence +11.5 134.7 87% 62–69 ✓
Northwestern @ Purdue +12.1 156.4 85% 60–80 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Bryant +8.8 147.7 79% 68–85 ✓
Rider @ Niagara +8.2 132.6 79% 70–67 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Canisius -2.1 134.1 44% 60–63 ✗
Xavier @ Marquette +0.9 145.5 62% 64–75 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Mount St. Mary's +9.5 133.9 82% 50–65 ✓
Youngstown State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +1.9 142.0 63% 71–82 ✓
Illinois State @ Evansville -7.3 144.8 23% 53–56 ✗
Fairfield @ Marist +5.0 135.5 64% 69–66 ✗
Manhattan @ Monmouth +9.7 146.2 83% 62–78 ✓
Iona @ Quinnipiac -7.9 152.2 21% 76–61 ✓
Massachusetts @ Saint Louis +10.7 155.0 82% 59–90 ✓
Arizona @ California -12.6 143.3 14% 96–71 ✓
Memphis @ Tulsa -4.4 144.0 32% 83–81 ✓
Wagner @ Merrimack -11.5 134.7 16% 71–57 ✓
Robert Morris @ Cleveland State +11.1 147.6 86% 68–75 ✓
Michigan @ Indiana +5.7 137.5 69% 80–62 ✗
UTEP @ UTSA -7.3 134.3 20% 59–54 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis +1.8 144.6 58% 74–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.