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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–1 on winners
spread MAE 12.3
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long Island University
@
Fairleigh Dickinson
|
-7.4 | 148.8 | 22% | 79–75 | ✓ |
Washington
@
Oregon
|
+10.1 | 144.6 | 82% | 56–84 | ✓ |
Jacksonville
@
Kennesaw State
|
+5.6 | 132.3 | 74% | 68–76 | ✓ |
Winthrop
@
High Point
|
-1.8 | 144.0 | 48% | 56–65 | ✗ |
Boston College
@
Wake Forest
|
+12.3 | 143.0 | 86% | 57–87 | ✓ |
Longwood
@
Hampton
|
-5.7 | 131.2 | 29% | 73–48 | ✓ |
Belmont
@
Eastern Illinois
|
-19.3 | 136.9 | 12% | 90–56 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.