Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +28 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -10.5 (+17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -13.1 (+14.9) | 146.3 (-6.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -9.8 (+18.2) | 145.9 (-5.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -10.1 (+17.9) | 144.6 (-4.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -10.0 (+18.0) | 145.9 (-5.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ORE 85 – 79 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2026 | WASH 72 – 57 ORE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | ORE 80 – 73 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ORE 82 – 71 WASH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ORE 85 – 80 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#62) | 1.3 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#54) | 0.74 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#45) | 0.77 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#48) | 0.540 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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