Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | WAKE -650 BC +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +30 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -13.3 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -9.6 (+20.4) | 143.4 (+0.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -11.8 (+18.2) | 142.6 (+1.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -12.3 (+17.7) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -11.4 (+18.6) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | BC 68 – 67 WAKE |
| Dec 7, 2024 | WAKE 72 – 66 BC |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WAKE 84 – 78 BC |
| Mar 1, 2023 | BC 71 – 69 WAKE |
| Jan 15, 2023 | WAKE 85 – 63 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 18-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#35) | 1.4 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#41) | -0.34 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#43) | -0.11 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#61) | 0.451 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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