Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
| Money | FDU +285 LIU -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +4 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -7.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -7.1 (+3.1) | 146.8 (+7.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -7.1 (+3.1) | 147.0 (+7.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -7.4 (+3.4) | 148.8 (+5.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -7.0 (+3.0) | 148.8 (+5.2) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIU 74 – 60 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | LIU 66 – 59 FDU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIU 74 – 55 FDU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIU 62 – 58 FDU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FDU 84 – 82 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-22 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 3-8 | 12-1 |
| Away | 2-16 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -14.8 (#347) | -4.4 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.05 (#350) | -1.23 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.46 (#346) | -1.35 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#333) | 0.456 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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