Tetrahydrocannabinol für die Allgemeinheit! "Mein Weed" - Nikitaman
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–13 on winners spread MAE 10.9 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boston University @ Hartford +6.8 135.7 73% 75–70 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ East Tennessee State +8.3 149.2 78% 43–56 ✓
Campbell @ Marshall +0.8 149.1 53% 67–65 ✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Penn State +18.0 141.2 95% 59–74 ✓
Alabama State @ Iowa +24.0 159.4 99% 82–108 ✓
UAB @ South Carolina +9.4 156.2 80% 63–66 ✓
Presbyterian @ Cincinnati +11.0 137.3 84% 45–79 ✓
Marquette @ Ole Miss +4.8 153.3 67% 78–72 ✗
Oklahoma @ East Carolina -11.3 141.6 15% 79–74 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Kentucky +2.0 161.9 57% 73–74 ✓
Stony Brook @ Kansas +23.7 147.9 98% 59–88 ✓
UT Arlington @ North Texas +17.9 135.8 95% 36–64 ✓
Ball State @ Florida International +1.6 136.4 56% 60–73 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Northern Arizona +13.6 136.2 89% 64–74 ✓
Nicholls @ TCU +14.8 133.7 91% 50–63 ✓
SE Louisiana @ SMU +14.0 146.2 90% 61–78 ✓
McNeese @ LSU +29.3 139.9 100% 46–85 ✓
Saint Francis @ Virginia Tech +18.7 137.0 96% 55–85 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Missouri +3.0 146.6 61% 37–54 ✓
Rutgers @ DePaul +15.5 147.9 92% 70–73 ✓
Samford @ Oregon State +11.8 120.7 86% 78–77 ✗
Washington State @ Idaho -1.0 151.6 46% 109–61 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Northwestern +22.8 152.6 98% 46–82 ✓
Elon @ West Virginia -0.5 135.7 48% 68–87 ✗
Indiana State @ Old Dominion +5.8 143.6 70% 77–36 ✗
Morgan State @ Seattle U +16.8 140.2 94% 80–93 ✓
Southern Utah @ California +9.2 136.1 80% 68–75 ✓
San José State @ California Baptist +14.0 150.2 90% 66–67 ✓
Arizona State @ San Diego State +17.7 133.0 95% 63–65 ✓
Nevada @ San Francisco +15.8 151.2 93% 70–73 ✓
Wyoming @ Washington -16.1 127.2 7% 77–72 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Portland +9.7 143.4 81% 74–86 ✓
Boise State @ Temple -5.8 127.0 30% 82–62 ✓
New Mexico State @ Utah State -3.7 147.0 37% 58–85 ✗
Bradley @ Colorado State +11.5 147.9 85% 60–66 ✓
Texas State @ Utah Tech -6.1 151.1 29% 85–65 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Clemson +6.3 129.1 72% 68–65 ✗
Davidson @ Pennsylvania -3.4 147.9 38% 72–60 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Massachusetts +5.4 133.2 69% 90–93 ✓
Troy @ North Dakota -14.3 149.2 10% 72–74 ✗
Brown @ Creighton +0.0 140.3 50% 57–78 ✓
Yale @ Vermont +7.1 131.6 74% 53–61 ✓
Oklahoma @ Indiana State -10.0 149.3 18% 87–63 ✓
American University @ Longwood +4.0 152.2 64% 42–82 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Cal State Northridge +1.1 148.6 54% 67–64 ✗
St. Thomas @ Youngstown State +8.6 157.2 78% 75–79 ✓
Liberty @ Iona -4.1 142.7 35% 50–54 ✗
Weber State @ Ball State -8.9 150.3 21% 85–74 ✓
Norfolk State @ Bowling Green +4.0 142.0 64% 90–84 ✗
Northeastern @ Duquesne -0.6 115.1 48% 71–55 ✓
UT Martin @ Florida Atlantic +10.2 148.6 82% 67–75 ✓
Towson @ Pittsburgh -1.6 138.0 44% 59–63 ✗
Hofstra @ Maryland +1.7 150.2 56% 67–69 ✓
Siena @ Georgetown +29.0 130.0 100% 65–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.