That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–15 on winners spread MAE 12.6 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
George Mason @ Maryland +0.6 140.0 52% 71–66 ✗
Stetson @ Miami (OH) +27.7 150.6 99% 65–80 ✓
Michigan State @ Butler +4.9 131.3 67% 73–52 ✗
Drexel @ Saint Joseph's +6.8 140.0 73% 78–75 ✗
La Salle @ Delaware +26.7 160.0 99% 82–85 ✓
Lipscomb @ Dayton +3.8 134.1 64% 78–59 ✗
Binghamton @ Columbia +2.1 135.9 58% 77–85 ✓
Harvard @ UAlbany -5.2 149.6 32% 60–53 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Coppin State +1.4 132.9 55% 49–71 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Wake Forest +12.0 147.1 86% 59–95 ✓
Marist @ Princeton +2.0 153.6 57% 61–80 ✓
Rider @ Bucknell +6.2 141.6 71% 74–81 ✓
Toledo @ Oakland +15.7 125.2 92% 59–80 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Baylor +29.4 154.4 100% 47–92 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Arkansas +23.3 132.8 98% 80–93 ✓
VCU @ Vanderbilt +23.6 129.2 98% 48–37 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Mississippi State +24.8 138.7 99% 64–77 ✓
Montana State @ South Dakota State +7.3 174.8 75% 74–91 ✓
Oklahoma State @ NC State -8.4 143.8 22% 74–68 ✓
Tulane @ Florida State +24.8 147.8 99% 54–59 ✓
Omaha @ Kansas State +6.3 131.5 72% 64–79 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Texas +15.8 153.3 92% 49–62 ✓
Valparaiso @ Stanford +19.8 132.8 96% 60–74 ✓
Missouri State @ Sam Houston +11.3 145.0 85% 77–55 ✗
Texas Southern @ Air Force +11.0 122.7 84% 57–61 ✓
St. John's @ Indiana +4.1 146.3 65% 74–76 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Grand Canyon +19.5 132.6 96% 64–91 ✓
Utah Valley @ Long Beach State +14.4 169.2 90% 84–78 ✗
UC Davis @ Pepperdine -4.8 144.5 33% 67–72 ✗
Little Rock @ Loyola Marymount +3.5 144.4 62% 63–82 ✓
Bellarmine @ Saint Mary's +13.4 143.7 89% 64–73 ✓
North Florida @ UCLA +22.0 141.9 98% 63–98 ✓
UC Riverside @ San Diego +9.9 133.4 82% 62–74 ✓
Davidson @ New Mexico State -6.9 133.6 26% 64–75 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Boise State +4.6 122.2 66% 67–61 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Utah State -0.2 151.3 49% 79–87 ✗
Green Bay @ UNC Greensboro +11.4 118.8 85% 58–60 ✓
Clemson @ Temple +2.8 136.4 60% 75–48 ✗
Massachusetts @ Weber State -1.6 141.2 44% 73–88 ✗
Milwaukee @ Florida +15.9 126.7 93% 45–81 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ UNC Asheville -11.7 144.2 14% 55–61 ✗
Ohio State @ Xavier +5.2 137.0 68% 65–71 ✓
Charlotte @ App State +5.0 123.0 68% 67–66 ✗
New Hampshire @ Providence +15.8 141.6 92% 58–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.